Selection for Friday 20th November
Section: Form Analysis
Account Bet
3.00 Kel Kirkside Pleasure 1 point each-way at 20/1
Weaker Bets
12.45 Kelso Bishop’s Heir
1.15 Kelso Bay Cherry
3.35 Kelso Le Platino
I wasn’t a fan of the other meetings when looking at the racing last night as I wasn’t sure about the ground and at least at Kelso, I knew it would be very soft today and thankfully, it hasn’t been abandoned!
I’ve gone with one selection and I like this one today but it’s a big price. I think Kirkside Pleasure is definitely overpriced and I think it should be about half this price today if I’m honest, so it’s an easy bet.
Two of the weaker bets are both horses who I think can go on from whatever happens today. James Ewart can’t buy a winner which puts me off the first one but I think this has much potential than the odds on fav, so if it was fit and 100% ready to go, it would beat the fav I think. Worried it will just run a nice race today though as it won’t be killed on that ground since it’s a nice horse.
Bay Cherry is one I was going to tip earlier this week but the meeting was abandoned. I think this is very well handicapped but earlier this week, it was going to run in a 4m chase on heavy ground and today, it’s 2m6f on heavy ground. I think this needs an extreme test of stamina from what I’ve seen on the track but long-term, this will be better than this handicap mark I’m sure.
Le Platino looked too short this morning at 5/2 and 11/4 and I can see it is drifting. I’d say 5/1 would be a real nice price for this one and I’m sure it may reach that on Betfair at some point today. In terms of tipping it, I can’t really as it’s 5/2 with WH and 9/2 with Sportingbet. 5/1 Min Price would be a point each-way I guess but as I’ve said before, I don’t like waiting on horses to drift to tip them as it looks like something is wrong with this one if I’m honest. Interesting to see how it runs but it looked a decent shout to me.
Yesterday saw another nice winner for the weaker bets (8/1 SP) and I think 5 of the 7 ran nice races. Again, does no harm to be reading things well and hopefully it will translate into an account bet winning for us very soon!
Good luck today.
Graeme