I don’t have a selection today. I concentrated solely on the Ascot card last night but didn’t find anything strong enough to tip at the right prices this morning. I actually had a couple I would have tipped this morning but they have questions to answer and I wanted better odds, so I’ll pass.
For a change, I’ll give you a few thoughts on the races I looked at. Maybe you can use it in some way with the advice from other tipsters. Don’t follow my advice below blindly as at the game we play, we want value. There’s no value selections with my advice or I would have tipped them. Always remember this!
Yesterday was painful for us with Pass Me A Dime getting beat on the run-in.
I knew the faults of the horse before I selected it again yesterday and it
didn’t jump very well again. It’s did remarkably well to even get close to
winning the race as it made a few dreadful blunders on the way round and
Tizzard was calling a cab once or twice but it was all to no avail I’m
afraid.
12.45 Ascot
This is one I was hoping to tip today but Run For Moor is too short. I was
hoping it would be around the 6/1 mark and I’d back it each-way but at
these prices this morning, I won’t touch it. Presenting Forever was the
other one I looked at but I was wanting around 14/1. Not getting that
today, so happy to pass. I suppose I thought the favourite Fistral Beach
may have been shorter and that was helping me form the market in my head
but the favourite isn’t that short. As it turns out, I don’t like the
favourite anyway, so it’s not like I think it’s value at these odds. I just
thought it may have been shorter.
1.20 Ascot
I’m not a fan of High Jack as it hardly looked well handicapped last time
and I’d be wanting to take it on due to the fact that McCoy is on it and it
will be overbet today. However, I came to the conclusion that there was
very little in the race to beat it! Hence, you don’t want to lay it and you
don’t want to back it. Definitely one race to not have a bet in unless you
can find something to take on the fav.
1.55 Ascot
This looks a red hot race and I wouldn’t touch it. I’m a massive fan of Dee
Ee Williams and we’ll see what it’s really made of today but hardly one to
lump on. Again, I was hoping the Nicholls horse may have been shorter
(Shamwari) as this has questions to answer but it isn’t as short as it
could have been. A race to watch and savour I think.
2.30 Ascot
You guys won’t have known this but Naiad Du Misselot was going to a
selection on Saturday before the racing was lost to the weather. This is a
slightly harder race for it to be honest but I think it will go close. I
was hoping for around 5/1 today and it’s a point shorter. If it drifts
pre-race, I wouldn’t put anyone off backing it today but it needs to drift.
This may bite me on the ass considering I was tipping it on Saturday but
we’ll see. I
hope it wins though.
3.05 Ascot
I spent an age on this race. I tipped King Louis last time and it’s 33/1
this morning! It barely jumped a fence last time which meant it had no
chance. It needs to jump much better to have any chance but if it jumps
well, 33/1 is a joke. Learnt my lesson from Pass Me A Dime though!
If Oneway is in any sort of form, 16/1 is massive as it’s looking very well
handicapped but it hasn’t shown much for a long time. If it bounces back
today, it will win but I’m not sure the horse is as good as it was or
anywhere near as good as it was. One to watch and we can maybe back it next
time if it shows anything.
I came to the conclusion the obvious horse to tip was Pepsyrock at about
10/1 but Jesus, it’s half of these odds this morning. No idea why it’s so
short and it maybe means it will win but I’m not going to bet on it. I’d
advice everyone to watch the race from last time and this was hard on the
steel the whole way. However, after pulling the jockey’s arms out, it
didn’t get home. If it settles today, it could hose up and I thought it
would be a bigger price since the Racing Post didn’t give it a good comment
last time but the secret is out I’m afraid! If it makes it to 10/1, back it
each-way!
3.40 Ascot
If you can get 25/1 on Cathedral Rock or 10/1 on Alaghiraar, back them
each-way as they’d be overpriced but their odds this morning are pretty
much on the mark. The first one reverts to hurdles and is on a very nice
mark but not sure what form it is in. The second one ran a great race last
time and I’d fancy it to turn the tables on Busker Royal but it hardly
looks thrown in and in such a big field, I’d want a bigger risk premium
which effectively means bigger odds!
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